Aktobe 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.40/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.11
+1% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.03.2025 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
25.08.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
18.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
08.05.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
09.04.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe and Ordabasy Shymkent couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aktobe and 0.67 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Aktobe 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 44%, draw 26%, Ordabasy Shymkent 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aktobe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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