Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.32/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.67
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / +78%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aktobe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
09.04.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-2 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
21.08.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
18.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
09.04.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 4-4 HT 2-2 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe edged past Ordabasy Shymkent 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 2.17 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 46%, draw 25%, Aktobe 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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