Yelimay Semey 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Cup, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yelimay Semey nicked a narrow win over Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Yelimay Semey found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Yelimay Semey 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Cup on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 37%, draw 27%, Kyzyl-Zhar 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yelimay Semey), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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