Aktobe 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.64/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.22
+24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ordabasy Shymkent
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
09.04.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-2 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
21.08.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
18.06.2021 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe and Ordabasy Shymkent played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aktobe at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aktobe and 1.00 for Ordabasy Shymkent.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Aktobe 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Ordabasy Shymkent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 41%, draw 24%, Ordabasy Shymkent 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aktobe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ Under 2.5
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