Atyrau 1-0 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 May 2024

Atyrau
1-0 HT 1-0
FC Astana
📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kazakistan - Super League – 2024

Atyrau vs FC Astana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
13%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atyrau v FC Astana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.46
+6% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Atyrau vs FC Astana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Astana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.07.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
28.05.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
23.10.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
21.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
18.06.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
10.04.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 6-2 HT 3-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atyrau squeezed past FC Astana 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Atyrau made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atyrau and 2.33 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs FC Astana?

Atyrau 1-0 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atyrau win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 40%, draw 32%, FC Astana 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atyrau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atyrau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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