18/05/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Kaisar vs Zhenys Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
26%
30%
Away Win
26%
56%
Under 2.5
52%
44%
Over 2.5
48%
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
53%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kaisar v Zhenys — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kaisar
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Zhenys
EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% /
-23%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-28%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
321 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
280 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kaisar vs Zhenys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kaisar squeezed past Zhenys 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Kaisar as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Kaisar vs Zhenys?
Kaisar 1-0 Zhenys in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Zhenys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 43%, draw 27%, Zhenys 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaisar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Kaisar)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KAZP
More Kazakistan - Super League
18 May 2024