Zhetysu 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.86/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
-40% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
305 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kyzyl-Zhar
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.03.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
19.05.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
05.08.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
13.05.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
29.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
19.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Kyzyl-Zhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar nicked a narrow win over Zhetysu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zhetysu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Zhetysu and 1.00 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Zhetysu 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Kyzyl-Zhar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zhetysu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 41%, draw 33%, Kyzyl-Zhar 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zhetysu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zhetysu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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