Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.71/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.14
+29% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aktobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
08.05.2024 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
16.09.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-1 HT 0-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
09.04.2023 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.10.2022 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent 2-2 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
21.08.2022 Aktobe Aktobe 3-1 HT 2-1 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent KAZP
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent and Aktobe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ordabasy Shymkent at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ordabasy Shymkent and 1.67 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe?

Ordabasy Shymkent 1-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 43%, draw 23%, Aktobe 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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