05/04/2026
·
16:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Nairobi United vs Shabana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
30%
Draw
32%
39%
Away Win
31%
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
61%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nairobi United v Shabana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Nairobi United
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shabana
EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% /
-4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+19% /
+19%
1.47/1.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.26/0.87
+64%
/
-49%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+33%
/
+7%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
281 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
327 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
Nairobi United vs Shabana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Nairobi United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Shabana
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
34%
Ball Possession
66%
11
Total Shots
19
6
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
10
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Nairobi United vs Shabana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Nairobi United swept aside Shabana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Nairobi United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.
What was the final score of Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Nairobi United 3-0 Shabana in the Kenya - Premier League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nairobi United vs Shabana?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shabana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nairobi United 31%, draw 30%, Shabana 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shabana), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Shabana)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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5 Apr 2026