Karcag SE 0-1 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karcag SE EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 37%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.72/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.19
+36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
259 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karcag SE
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ajka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.10.2025 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-0 Karcag SE Karcag SE MAC2
POST-MATCH Karcag SE vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Karcag SE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Karcag SE at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Karcag SE vs Ajka?

Karcag SE 0-1 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karcag SE vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karcag SE win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karcag SE 42%, draw 28%, Ajka 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Karcag SE), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karcag SE) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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