Nasarawa United 0-1 Kun Khalifat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
2.51
No
43%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
36%
+21.2pp
43%
BTTS No
64%
-21.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nasarawa United EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kun Khalifat EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.41/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.31
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nasarawa United
0-1
AWAY Kun Khalifat
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nasarawa United vs Kun Khalifat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kun Khalifat edged past Nasarawa United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Nasarawa United carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nasarawa United had 60% of the ball to Kun Khalifat's 40%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Nasarawa United vs Kun Khalifat?

Nasarawa United 0-1 Kun Khalifat in the Nigeria NPFL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nasarawa United vs Kun Khalifat?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nasarawa United win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nasarawa United 63%, draw 24%, Kun Khalifat 13%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nasarawa United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NIJ More Nigeria NPFL
5 Apr 2026
18:00 Remo Stars vs Shooting Stars Analysis →
18:00 Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors Analysis →
18:00 Warri Wolves vs Rivers United Analysis →