Kwara United 3-0 El Kanemi Warriors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 5 Apr 2026

Kwara United
3-0 HT 2-0
El Kanemi Warriors
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2025/2026

Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
7%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.95
No
68%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
2%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
71%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
7%
Away Win
9%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.3pp
32%
BTTS Yes
30%
+2.3pp
68%
BTTS No
70%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kwara United v El Kanemi Warriors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kwara United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors EU Bookmakers 12%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.77/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/1.77
+11% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kwara United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY El Kanemi Warriors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2025 Kwara United Kwara United 2-0 HT 1-0 El Kanemi Warriors El Kanemi Warriors NIJ
POST-MATCH Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kwara United ran out comfortable winners over El Kanemi Warriors 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kwara United as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (68%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Kwara United 3-0 El Kanemi Warriors in the Nigeria NPFL on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kwara United vs El Kanemi Warriors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kwara United win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Kwara United 71%, draw 21%, El Kanemi Warriors 7%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kwara United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kwara United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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