UTA Arad 5-1 Metaloglobus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.96
No
40%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
-0.6pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
46%
-8.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
54%
+8.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.5pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Metaloglobus EU Bookmakers 17%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.63/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.70
-42% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -45%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 71%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
28.0 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Metaloglobus
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
328 Passes 228
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Metaloglobus Metaloglobus 2-2 HT 1-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
02.11.2025 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-0 HT 0-0 Metaloglobus Metaloglobus ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
5-1
AWAY Metaloglobus
3.51 xG 0.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
409 Passes 266
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Metaloglobus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad swept aside Metaloglobus 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had UTA Arad as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UTA Arad had 58% of the ball to Metaloglobus's 42%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 3.51 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UTA Arad had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UTA Arad and 1.00 for Metaloglobus.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Metaloglobus?

UTA Arad 5-1 Metaloglobus in the Romania - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Metaloglobus?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTA Arad win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 65%, draw 17%, Metaloglobus 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTA Arad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTA Arad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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