Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0-1 Alanya Kestelspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+2.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor EU Bookmakers 19%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
2.24/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.90
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Alanya Kestelspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
13.12.2025 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 1-2 HT 1-2 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3-2
17.12.2022 Alanya Kestelspor Alanya Kestelspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor S3-2
POST-MATCH Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alanya Kestelspor squeezed past Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor and 1.00 for Alanya Kestelspor.

What was the final score of Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 0-1 Alanya Kestelspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor vs Alanya Kestelspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 64%, draw 19%, Alanya Kestelspor 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✓ BTTS No
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