Radnik Surdulica 1-2 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
73%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
53%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
7%
+5.9pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.4pp
73%
Away Win
79%
-5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
0.86/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/0.80
-45% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
240 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.1
15.0 Crosses 26.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.76 xG 2.98
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
152 Passes 418
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Box Touches 48
9 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.11.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
04.11.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
13.11.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
29.07.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 6-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
13.12.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
27.10.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1-2
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.37 xG 2.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
171 Passes 382
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 41
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Radnik Surdulica 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 37% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 63%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.37 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 2.33 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Kızılyıldız?

Radnik Surdulica 1-2 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 13%, draw 14%, Kızılyıldız 73%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
5 Apr 2026
20:00 FK Partizan vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →