Kızılyıldız 1-1 Radnik Surdulica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
82%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
1%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
82%
Home Win
85%
-3.3pp
13%
Draw
8%
+4.8pp
5%
Away Win
6%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
2.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.34
+57% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
505 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
43.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
27.0 Crosses 10.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.38 xG 0.70
68% Ball Possession 32%
26 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
410 Passes 144
80% Pass Accuracy 59%
43 Box Touches 4
35 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
13.11.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-2 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
29.07.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 6-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
13.12.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
27.10.2021 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
17.04.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 2-1 HT 0-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
1-1
AWAY Radnik Surdulica
2.92 xG 0.67
74% Ball Possession 26%
22 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
579 Passes 151
88% Pass Accuracy 63%
52 Box Touches 7
43 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Radnik Surdulica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız and Radnik Surdulica couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kızılyıldız at 82% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 74% of the ball to Radnik Surdulica's 26%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.92 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for Radnik Surdulica.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Radnik Surdulica?

Kızılyıldız 1-1 Radnik Surdulica in the Serbia - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Radnik Surdulica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 82%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 82%, draw 13%, Radnik Surdulica 5%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
2 Nov 2025
18:00 Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →
18:00 Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Analysis →
19:00 Vojvodina vs IMT Novi Beograd Analysis →