Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
2-0
HT 2-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
Backa Topola 1-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola and Napredak Krusevac shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Backa Topola at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Backa Topola had 68% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 32%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.46 to 0.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Backa Topola and 0.50 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Backa Topola 1-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 63%, draw 21%, Napredak Krusevac 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.