Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
2-0
HT 2-0
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
0-0
HT 0-0
Backa Topola
SIRP
Backa Topola 4-2 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola saw off Napredak Krusevac 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Backa Topola had 65% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 35%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 2.26 to 1.68.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Backa Topola and 0.17 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Backa Topola 4-2 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 57%, draw 20%, Napredak Krusevac 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while BTTS No went the other way.