Napredak Krusevac 0-3 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 57%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
0.80/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.29
-22% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
16.6 Crosses 20.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.56 xG 2.18
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 Passes 454
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 6-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
07.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
22.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
11.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
13.08.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
06.05.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-3
AWAY Backa Topola
0.88 xG 2.04
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola swept aside Napredak Krusevac 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 41% of the ball to Backa Topola's 59%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.88 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.83 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?

Napredak Krusevac 0-3 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 27%, draw 23%, Backa Topola 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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