Backa Topola 6-0 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 May 2024

📅23/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
12%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
81%
-10.0pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.7pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.27/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.72
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
25.7 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 0.64
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
424 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
22.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
11.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
13.08.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
06.05.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
26.02.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-2 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
6-0
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
7.16 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
539 Passes 226
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
56 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola cruised past Napredak Krusevac 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Backa Topola had 66% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 34%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 7.16 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Backa Topola and 0.50 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?

Backa Topola 6-0 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 23/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 71%, draw 18%, Napredak Krusevac 12%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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