Napredak Krusevac 0-0 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 53%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +27%
0.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.08
-53% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
18.7 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
215 Passes 416
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
11.02.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
13.08.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
06.05.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
26.02.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-2 HT 1-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
16.09.2021 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
0-0
AWAY Backa Topola
1.20 xG 0.42
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 5
203 Passes 414
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and Backa Topola played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 37% of the ball to Backa Topola's 63%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.33 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?

Napredak Krusevac 0-0 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 21%, draw 30%, Backa Topola 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Backa Topola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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