IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Javor Ivanjica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 7 Mar 2024

📅07/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Javor Ivanjica EU Bookmakers 32%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.61/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.48
-60% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 68%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
27.5 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.34 xG 2.48
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
112 Passes 280
55% Pass Accuracy 76%
7 Box Touches 49
10 Crosses 46
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.12.2023 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica 1-1 HT 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
01.11.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Javor Ivanjica Javor Ivanjica SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
2-1
AWAY Javor Ivanjica
1.06 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
306 Passes 236
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Javor Ivanjica 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 54% of the ball to Javor Ivanjica's 46%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 1.06 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 1.00 for Javor Ivanjica.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica?

IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 Javor Ivanjica in the Serbia - Super League on 07/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Javor Ivanjica?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 48%, draw 22%, Javor Ivanjica 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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