Kızılyıldız 2-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.46
Over 2.5
60%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-18.2pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.3pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
25%
+14.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
75%
-14.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +33%
2.76/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.69
+54% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +56%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
27.5 Crosses 13.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.80 xG 0.47
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
504 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-5 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.12.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
19.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
05.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.10.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
28.11.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
3.46 xG 1.65
74% Ball Possession 26%
29 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
539 Passes 141
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
64 Box Touches 14
41 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Spartak Subotica 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 74% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 26%, shots finished 29-6, expected goals 3.46 to 1.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica?

Kızılyıldız 2-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 67%, draw 18%, Spartak Subotica 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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