Spartak Subotica 1-5 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
45%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
6%
+10.4pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.5pp
64%
Away Win
80%
-15.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 84%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
0.52/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/0.62
+28% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 79%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.2
12.1 Crosses 25.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Subotica
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.40 xG 2.70
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
202 Passes 468
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 44
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
19.08.2023 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
05.04.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-4 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
09.10.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
28.11.2021 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
31.07.2021 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 1-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Subotica
1-5
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.67 xG 3.19
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
203 Passes 637
76% Pass Accuracy 91%
9 Box Touches 33
6 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside Spartak Subotica 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Subotica had 27% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 73%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.67 to 3.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Subotica and 3.33 for Kızılyıldız.

What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız?

Spartak Subotica 1-5 Kızılyıldız in the Serbia - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 16%, draw 20%, Kızılyıldız 64%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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