Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.6pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.20
+6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 72%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.5 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.16 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
257 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
10.02.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 2-2 HT 2-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
01.11.2023 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
27.08.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
0-1
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.27 xG 0.37
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
520 Passes 265
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar squeezed past Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zeleznicar Pancevo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 64% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 36%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.27 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Zeleznicar Pancevo.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 1.25 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 0-1 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 42%, draw 26%, Novi Pazar 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
26 Oct 2024
16:55 FK Partizan vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →
19:00 Spartak Subotica vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
21:00 Vojvodina vs OFK Beograd Analysis →