Mladost Lucani 1-1 Radnicki Nis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 48%
+17% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.29/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.07
+30% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.4 Crosses 19.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Radnicki Nis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.38 xG 2.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
227 Passes 306
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
30.03.2024 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 1-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
22.10.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-2 HT 1-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
30.04.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-2 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
04.02.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 2-1 HT 0-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
06.08.2022 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 2-2 HT 1-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY Radnicki Nis
0.67 xG 0.70
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
162 Passes 454
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki Nis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and Radnicki Nis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 30% of the ball to Radnicki Nis's 70%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.67 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.83 for Radnicki Nis.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki Nis?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 Radnicki Nis in the Serbia - Super League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki Nis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 35%, draw 27%, Radnicki Nis 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki Nis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✓ BTTS Yes
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