Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novi Pazar v Zeleznicar Pancevo — Team-Based Signals
Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRBK
1-0
HT 1-0
Zeleznicar Pancevo
SIRP
Novi Pazar 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo — Actual Match Statistics
Novi Pazar edged past Zeleznicar Pancevo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Novi Pazar as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novi Pazar had 38% of the ball to Zeleznicar Pancevo's 62%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.95 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Novi Pazar's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.00 for Zeleznicar Pancevo.
What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?
Novi Pazar 1-0 Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Serbia - Super League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Zeleznicar Pancevo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novi Pazar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 44%, draw 24%, Zeleznicar Pancevo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novi Pazar) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.