CS Sfaxien 3-0 Kairouan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.29
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
8%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
3.05
No
59%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 32% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
74%
-0.1pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.3pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
29%
+12.3pp
59%
BTTS No
71%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairouan EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.74/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.75
+2% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Kairouan
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
22.03.2026 Kairouan Kairouan 0-1 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
05.10.2025 Kairouan Kairouan 0-3 HT 0-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
03.02.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 0-4 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
23.02.2020 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-1 HT 1-1 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
24.09.2019 Kairouan Kairouan 2-3 HT 1-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
3-0
AWAY Kairouan
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs Kairouan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien cruised past Kairouan 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CS Sfaxien as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 61% of the ball to Kairouan's 39%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for CS Sfaxien and 0.60 for Kairouan.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs Kairouan?

CS Sfaxien 3-0 Kairouan in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs Kairouan?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 74%, draw 18%, Kairouan 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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