Kairouan 0-3 CS Sfaxien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
1.75
2-3 Goals
48%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
7.37
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.1pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.3pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kairouan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 43%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.02/2.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.95
+23% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kairouan
0W-0D-3L
AWAY CS Sfaxien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
03.02.2021 Kairouan Kairouan 0-4 HT 0-1 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
23.02.2020 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-1 HT 1-1 Kairouan Kairouan TUN1
24.09.2019 Kairouan Kairouan 2-3 HT 1-2 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
POST-MATCH Kairouan vs CS Sfaxien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien swept aside Kairouan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; CS Sfaxien found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CS Sfaxien led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kairouan and 3.00 for CS Sfaxien.

What was the final score of Kairouan vs CS Sfaxien?

Kairouan 0-3 CS Sfaxien in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kairouan vs CS Sfaxien?

Before kick-off our model rated an CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kairouan 34%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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