Nanjing City 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.33
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 20%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.45/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.99
-25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
27.8 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Jiangxi Beidamen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.40 xG 0.21
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
368 Passes 131
82% Pass Accuracy 57%
28 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2023 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 0-1 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
04.06.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 0-0 HT 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
08.07.2022 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 1-2 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
10.06.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
31.05.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-0 HT 0-0 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen ÇİN2
05.05.2021 Jiangxi Beidamen Jiangxi Beidamen 0-1 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City nicked a narrow win over Jiangxi Beidamen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nanjing City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nanjing City and 0.50 for Jiangxi Beidamen.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Nanjing City 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 53%, draw 26%, Jiangxi Beidamen 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nanjing City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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