Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Nanjing City v Jiangxi Beidamen — Team-Based Signals
Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Nanjing City 2-1 Jiangxi Beidamen — Actual Match Statistics
Nanjing City nicked a narrow win over Jiangxi Beidamen 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nanjing City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Nanjing City had 48% of the ball to Jiangxi Beidamen's 52%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.79 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Jiangxi Beidamen.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nanjing City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nanjing City and 0.50 for Jiangxi Beidamen.
Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen Result & Final Score
Nanjing City 2 - 1 Jiangxi Beidamen in the China - League One on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Nanjing City vs Jiangxi Beidamen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 62%, draw 24%, Jiangxi Beidamen 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nanjing City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.