Shanghai Jiading 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.19
6+ Goals
5%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.2pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 57%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.79/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.53
+12% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
13.3 Crosses 13.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Jiading
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
248 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 2-0 HT 1-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 2-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
15.09.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 3-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
30.08.2022 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Jiading
1-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.34 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
209 Passes 477
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Jiading and Guangxi Baoyun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guangxi Baoyun at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Shanghai Jiading had 34% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 66%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.34 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Shanghai Jiading and 1.50 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Shanghai Jiading 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Jiading vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guangxi Baoyun win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Jiading 26%, draw 20%, Guangxi Baoyun 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guangxi Baoyun) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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