Hradec Kralove 3-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 35% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
0.97/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.21
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
288 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 67%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.0 Crosses 22.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hradec Kralove
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
265 Passes 286
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
33 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
03.09.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-3 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.02.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.08.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
17.04.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 3-0 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
20.11.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hradec Kralove
3-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.48 xG 0.66
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
281 Passes 269
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hradec Kralove vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hradec Kralove beat Sigma Olomouc 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hradec Kralove as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hradec Kralove had 51% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 49%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.48 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hradec Kralove had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hradec Kralove and 1.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Hradec Kralove vs Sigma Olomouc?

Hradec Kralove 3-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hradec Kralove vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hradec Kralove win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hradec Kralove 45%, draw 28%, Sigma Olomouc 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hradec Kralove) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hradec Kralove) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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