Slovacko 2-4 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
53%
Away Win
62%
-8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.66/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.89
+15% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +5%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
20.5 Crosses 23.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sparta Prag
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.54 xG 0.99
46% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
246 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 1-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
17.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-0 HT 3-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
23.05.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
22.04.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 1-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.11.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
18.05.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 3-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
2-4
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.28 xG 1.74
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 8
187 Passes 415
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat Slovacko 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Slovacko had 35% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 65%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slovacko and 2.33 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs Sparta Prag?

Slovacko 2-4 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 23%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag 53%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5
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