Slovacko 1-3 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovacko EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
0.99/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.92
-12% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovacko
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 5-0 HT 3-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
23.05.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
22.04.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 1-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
09.11.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-0 HT 2-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
18.05.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 3-1 HT 3-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
11.05.2022 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-2 HT 1-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovacko
1-3
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.54 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
246 Passes 321
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Slovacko vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag saw off Slovacko 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovacko had 44% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 56%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.54 to 0.99 — the balance of chances actually favoured Slovacko.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovacko and 2.00 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slovacko vs Sparta Prag?

Slovacko 1-3 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovacko vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slovacko 31%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Under 2.5
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