Ceske Budejovice 2-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.27/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
11.03.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-0 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
17.09.2022 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-3 HT 0-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
12.12.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 2-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
23.11.2021 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 1-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEKK
14.08.2021 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 3-3 HT 0-2 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.28 xG 1.45
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
149 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 44
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceske Budejovice edged past Sigma Olomouc 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Ceske Budejovice made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 37% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 63%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.28 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sigma Olomouc led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.17 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Sigma Olomouc?

Ceske Budejovice 2-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceske Budejovice win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 38%, draw 28%, Sigma Olomouc 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) ✗ Under 2.5
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