Liverpool (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
24%
+8.2pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.9pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.52 xG 3.23
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
203 Passes 352
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2019 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-0
AWAY Manchester United (K)
3.02 xG 0.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 Passes 289
69% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) squeezed past Manchester United (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester United (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 45% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 55%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 3.02 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Liverpool (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-0 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 32%, draw 18%, Manchester United (K) 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manchester United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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