Chelsea 5-0 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.98
2-3 Goals
33%
2.19
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
18%
4.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.81
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.0
X/1
15%
4.1
X/2
5%
12.1
X/X
6%
7.76
2/1
8%
18.2
2/2
8%
7.67
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -19%
1.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.03
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.4 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
3W-1D-2L
AWAY West Ham United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.01 xG 1.01
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
569 Passes 239
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 3-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
11.02.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.09.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
24.04.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
04.12.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 3-2 HT 1-2 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
24.04.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
5-0
AWAY West Ham United
4.22 xG 0.88
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 13
14 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
692 Passes 255
93% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea swept aside West Ham United 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Chelsea had 69% of the ball to West Ham United's 31%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 4.22 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chelsea and 1.33 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs West Ham United?

Chelsea 5-0 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 57%, draw 22%, West Ham United 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
5 May 2024
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