Liverpool 4-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
9.82
2-3 Goals
33%
2.53
4-5 Goals
29%
2.32
6+ Goals
17%
3.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.71
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.55
X/1
10%
4.21
X/2
11%
13.35
X/X
6%
9.18
2/1
10%
16.4
2/2
5%
7.83
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
2.45/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.67
+20% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
496 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
38.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
23.3 Crosses 15.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.60 xG 1.59
55% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
482 Passes 391
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
30.04.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 4-3 HT 3-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
07.05.2022 Liverpool Liverpool 1-1 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
19.12.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 2-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
28.01.2021 Tottenham Tottenham 1-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
4-2
AWAY Tottenham
3.37 xG 1.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
25 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
359 Passes 487
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
48 Box Touches 31
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool saw off Tottenham 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 44% of the ball to Tottenham's 56%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 3.37 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Liverpool and 1.67 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Liverpool 4-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 60%, draw 19%, Tottenham 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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