AC Milan (K) 1-0 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.56
No
37%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-10.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+3.0pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.09/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.01
+3% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -28%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Como (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
335 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
22.01.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
1-0
AWAY Como (K)
1.04 xG 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
313 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) squeezed past Como (K) 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 53% of the ball to Como (K)'s 47%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.04 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AC Milan (K) and 1.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

AC Milan (K) 1-0 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 57%, draw 18%, Como (K) 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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