Como (K) 1-4 AC Milan (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.03
Over 2.5
39%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.2pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
45%
+15.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
55%
-15.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.58
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +121%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
5.0 Crosses 27.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AC Milan (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.82 xG 2.13
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
189 Passes 302
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.01.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.10.2023 Como (K) Como (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
1-4
AWAY AC Milan (K)
0.94 xG 1.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
235 Passes 368
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 43
6 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) cruised past Como (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como (K) had 41% of the ball to AC Milan (K)'s 59%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 0.94 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Como (K) and 1.50 for AC Milan (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Como (K) 1-4 AC Milan (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs AC Milan (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 29%, draw 26%, AC Milan (K) 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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