Juventus (K) 4-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.63/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.63
+30% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
32.0 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.63 xG 1.15
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
488 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
44 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKK
29.01.2024 Juventus (K) Juventus (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus (K)
4-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.84 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
325 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus (K) swept aside Fiorentina (K) 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Juventus (K) had 51% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 49%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.84 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Juventus (K) and 2.50 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Juventus (K) 4-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Juventus (K) 51%, draw 24%, Fiorentina (K) 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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