Roma (K) 4-3 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
303 Passes 274
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 0
29.03.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma (K)
4-3
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.98 xG 1.23
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
397 Passes 355
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
37 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) edged past Inter Milano (K) 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Roma (K) had 54% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 46%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.98 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roma (K) and 1.50 for Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Roma (K) 4-3 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Roma (K) 51%, draw 22%, Inter Milano (K) 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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