Sampdoria (K) 2-0 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
14%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.9 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
212 Passes 210
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
20.01.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
2-0
AWAY Napoli (K)
1.94 xG 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
210 Passes 270
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) beat Napoli (K) 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sampdoria (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 46% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 54%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.94 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Napoli (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 1.00 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 2-0 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 43%, draw 26%, Napoli (K) 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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