Madrid CFF (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.6pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.5pp
33%
Away Win
56%
-23.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
Crosses 14.1
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.90 xG 1.87
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
330 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.01.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.69 xG 1.15
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
364 Passes 361
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) edged past Madrid CFF (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 51% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 49%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.69 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 0-1 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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