Ingolstadt 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 5 May 2024

Ingolstadt
1-1 HT 0-0
Waldhof Mannheim
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
8%
6.34
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
10%
4.05
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v Waldhof Mannheim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
+14% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
12.3 Crosses 11.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.28 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
227 Passes 404
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
15.03.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 3-2 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
10.09.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
20.03.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
14.11.2020 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 4-1 HT 2-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
24.06.2020 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3

Ingolstadt 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt and Waldhof Mannheim shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 55% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 45%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.33 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Ingolstadt 1-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 47%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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