Lommel United 1-1 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 5 May 2024

Lommel United
1-1 HT 0-0
Deinze
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lommel United vs Deinze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.17
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.05
X/2
12%
6.27
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.29
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v Deinze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.35/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.21
+16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.4 Crosses 19.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lommel United vs Deinze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deinze
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.04 xG 1.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
428 Passes 356
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Deinze Deinze 3-2 HT 2-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
26.08.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
14.04.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 4-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
18.03.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
11.12.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
08.10.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-0 HT 2-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2

Lommel United 1-1 Deinze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-1
AWAY Deinze
1.35 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
522 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United and Deinze shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lommel United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lommel United had 59% of the ball to Deinze's 41%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.35 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lommel United and 1.33 for Deinze.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Deinze?

Lommel United 1-1 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 41%, draw 25%, Deinze 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lommel United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →