Deinze 3-2 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -25%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.25
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.5 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lommel United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.30 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
394 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
14.04.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 4-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
18.03.2023 Deinze Deinze 1-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
11.12.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
08.10.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-0 HT 2-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
16.04.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 2-1 HT 2-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
3-2
AWAY Lommel United
1.98 xG 1.89
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
212 Passes 437
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze squeezed past Lommel United 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Deinze made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deinze had 37% of the ball to Lommel United's 63%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 1.98 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deinze and 1.50 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Lommel United?

Deinze 3-2 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deinze 37%, draw 27%, Lommel United 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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