Dender EH 1-4 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
1.42/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-12% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +127% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
3W-1D-1L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.99 xG 0.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
360 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
38 Box Touches 15
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
14.02.2009 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
20.09.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-0 HT 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
26.04.2008 Dender EH Dender EH 2-1 HT 0-1 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL
08.12.2007 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-2 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-4
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
0.88 xG 2.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
373 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem cruised past Dender EH 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dender EH at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dender EH had 50% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.88 to 2.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Dender EH and 0.80 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Dender EH 1-4 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 48%, draw 28%, SV Zulte Waregem 24%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dender EH), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dender EH) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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