Delfin 1-3 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
27%
+11.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
46%
-13.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 49%
+14% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -16%
1.03/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.07
-13% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
14.0 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.89
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
177 Passes 323
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
05.03.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 5-0 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
11.07.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
20.02.2022 Delfin Delfin 0-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
18.10.2021 Delfin Delfin 4-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.05.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-3
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.10 xG 1.26
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
190 Passes 440
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC got the better of Delfin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Barcelona SC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Delfin had 34% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 66%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.10 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Delfin and 1.67 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Barcelona SC?

Delfin 1-3 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Delfin 39%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Delfin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
5 May 2024
21:00 Aucas vs Libertad Analysis →
23:30 Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Analysis →