Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 May 2024

Independiente Del Valle
1-0 HT 0-0
Deportivo Cuenca
📅05/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.69/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -9%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
18.1 Crosses 14.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 0.56
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
409 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.09.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.04.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
28.11.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
18.07.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.74 xG 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
423 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle edged past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 63% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 37%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 0.74 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.67 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 60%, draw 23%, Deportivo Cuenca 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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